Friday, January 18, 2008

Can Ron Paul Win Nevada?

The Music/Website Director of Prez Games LLC is a big fan of Republican presidential candidate Rep. Ron Paul of Texas and so I thought I would take the time to discuss Paul's chances in tomorrow's contests. Rep. Paul has no chance of winning South Carolina because all of the major candidates have been focusing on it and with its base of social and foreign policy conservatives, it just isn't his kind of state.

On the other hand, Paul does have an outside chance of winning Nevada. There is an opening here because as I said, all of the major candidates have been focusing their efforts on South Carolina. And only two candidates have given significant attention to Nevada, former Governor Mitt Romney and of course, Rep. Ron Paul.

It appears that Romney has built a campaign operation capable of winning Nevada and since there is a significant Mormon population in Nevada, he might very well pull it off. But Paul has a committed corps of volunteers at his disposal and I am sure they are knocking on thousands of doors in places such as Las Vegas, Reno, and Henderson.

Nevada also has a strong libertarian tradition and that should help Paul, a strong libertarian himself and the presidential nominee of the Libertarian Party in 1988. Rep. Paul also won a Nevada straw poll back in October, winning it by a substantial margin. Paul received 33%, Romney 16%, and Hunter 15%. This victory shows that Paul has the ability to do well in Nevada and so I think he will make a strong showing in tomorrow's caucus's.

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